Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 2:46:00 A.M. to 08/18/2026, 2:47:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
37% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,396.99
Unexplained QUAI: 2,349.98
Explained QI: 576.34
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
7
70.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
3,746.97 QUAI
576.34 QI
Avg confidence
70.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 3747 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (63% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (37%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,396.99 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
576.34 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0074DA5D1C9E649401a8958A11AA88347C743C62
Net receiver
Unknown type
511.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00743a2bF1c35514DAb84180e40D9C09C9B3C7d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
361.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net receiver
Unknown type
288.17 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
10 tx
6,137.53 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:45:38 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
3,746.97 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:46:49 A.M.
-2 min
11 tx
3,787.14 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:44:27 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
8,244.97 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:48:00 A.M.
-3 min
15 tx
8,838.92 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:43:16 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
3,767.37 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:49:11 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate60 tx
78,273.65 QUAI • 71 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:41:59 A.M.
+4 min
17 tx
12,417.28 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:50:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
511.64 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:46:28 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0074DA5D1C9E649401a8958A11AA88347C743C62
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
288.17 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:46:58 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Tx: 0x0045003e8f50e269afd4e9107b5c2c5938bddc26a0f1979e925936e6c1ad1d51
288.17 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:46:58 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00150058b5dc5626f35d266751e2c1e0c0630310ba6aa94bd91e66d5040c27ff
155.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:46:46 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00782f61dC8c6030a482E813E04E940F4c602f33
Tx: 0x00650024c26ad3b2ef1f4911a62ef31caa5f06d300075cb53b9cc8e2aa2e3494
511.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:46:28 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0074DA5D1C9E649401a8958A11AA88347C743C62
Tx: 0x0002005441eccf0c2af1e82dea545b3735405b9044783b07b8415d80c91149cf
361.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:46:22 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00743a2bF1c35514DAb84180e40D9C09C9B3C7d0
Tx: 0x001d0064829acf29e4d932bc843ba477ff48a1a63606cb407f69e2950b3d774c
260.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:46:08 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
Tx: 0x00720042e0225eaeb1d9979f5c220bd7d38a8b2ddbe2ecb3f3ada5dd143e658e
108.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0072C65c20d0b568943788B5796FBd6d08A1b127
Tx: 0x007900506be6d804243b720f158fa2f01ae656ef275174543ac776cd62aaee8f