Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 2:43:00 A.M. to 08/18/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
40% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,554.48
Unexplained QUAI: 5,284.44
Explained QI: 894.48
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.1x previous minute
2.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
9
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
8,838.92 QUAI
894.48 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 8839 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (60% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (40%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,057.99 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,496.49 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x007590604B15235E365DF00570CDb50D3edEE76d
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,323.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
894.48 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006aE7bc9dA038C00076553aAB1Eb76C68272B18
Net receiver
Unknown type
784.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 607.16 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
15 tx
8,838.92 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:43:16 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate60 tx
78,273.65 QUAI • 71 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:41:59 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
3,787.14 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:44:27 A.M.
-2 min
14 tx
18,585.96 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:40:48 A.M.
-3 min
18 tx
10,221.32 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:39:36 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
6,137.53 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:45:38 A.M.
+4 min
10 tx
3,746.97 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:46:49 A.M.
-5 min
14 tx
17,275.2 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:38:24 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,323.58 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:43:57 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007590604B15235E365DF00570CDb50D3edEE76d
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
1,323.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:43:57 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007590604B15235E365DF00570CDb50D3edEE76d
Tx: 0x005f00323e193759cf94161d2e00cb6c30943bb4ae3430cc9a66c8eeaa2916fb
485.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:43:57 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006Bdd4a4Af97529838DE8958D55E61e867d17af
Tx: 0x0023001cd37a5b4a53cb9b970bc6a76b3a31e50fb147ab3c62fb03f5605e0a5e
287.31 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:43:44 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x0014002299b535f2e5d5542671da46ae510af00ccabc76bbb84cfc3bd7da3450
287.31 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:43:44 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005f002d7b3038667e8f40e49cfff2d9ef1598d783556b979295ba28878c2c28
225.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:43:44 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006b3958187a1F8BFBD8858D3F5A17544bb1Ba16
Tx: 0x0042001106b0b5320ee060c0f569299f115288927e03f6657be848156aa8b319
461.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:43:44 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: StratumX miner
0x00756Bb5A2b36C03ea4B142BC348664107c09808
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x002f005a843a1a0e09a450e45dbb1270c970a9aad8b1cb0d35a9c11e93731e91
319.84 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:43:05 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005d006d8e64c490bf2d47960ed4c034fc526a451c1357abf05a0d585ce5790f
784.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:43:05 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006aE7bc9dA038C00076553aAB1Eb76C68272B18
Tx: 0x00490026fb2e420507ff42a7cce6bc36eb62145241de3367efb87cf796d941af
273.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:43:05 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
Tx: 0x0009003de8b9101306d7e92fa18ccc29e5164c3342e77eafcc2f35b52a993abd
