Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 2:36:00 A.M. to 08/18/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
17% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,626.39
Unexplained QUAI: 13,055.16
Explained QI: 890.99
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
0.7x previous minute
5.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
7
41.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
15,681.55 QUAI
890.99 QI
Avg confidence
74.9%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 15682 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (83% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (17%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,047.19 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,350.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
891 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00541EB654c3A18058F0F55315E4724be03Cf344
Net receiver
Unknown type
696.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
604.64 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 604.64 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
17 tx
15,681.55 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:36:02 A.M.
-1 min
18 tx
22,456.92 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:34:51 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
3,149.91 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:37:14 A.M.
-2 min
17 tx
18,162.82 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:33:40 A.M.
+2 min
14 tx
17,275.2 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:38:24 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate46 tx
48,424.9 QUAI • 53 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:32:25 A.M.
+4 min
18 tx
10,221.32 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:39:36 A.M.
-5 min
17 tx
10,463.79 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:31:12 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,350.57 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:36:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
286.35 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:36:53 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x000100446626323ab79685c23d8fe9ba7ab2366cbf7bf45cb5c2658dcc9f2749
286.35 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:36:53 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007e00296ed8eb8aedc23cc28152f2e9d924e420d363956c655d83cc67c9b8b2
289.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:36:53 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005D87D52567A05E699462656f7C0745b434F017
Tx: 0x000b0032324bc416df23dbdbdc6dd286b4e10bc1698341ef3ef8637d16fc340e
696.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:36:53 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00541EB654c3A18058F0F55315E4724be03Cf344
Tx: 0x007900171c702553c553a3272e56b5969028fa2e9d97c5a2ffc94294328c39d3
318.28 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:36:15 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0012004f71070acb9a0db060fb1bc0fed7c6dee4a8b7d2510e798cd4c087e6a1
1,350.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:36:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
Tx: 0x0062006660894b956080bcf6fe91a327e8e1979e20e8239b51b505842a25e16e
289.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:36:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005b0F3Cf33EEd139a12a653Bd6f76B2249fB035
Tx: 0x0045002e7c350074eba59b1ae1eb4a541a7d8ecc96a447385e4f76fe487c94e8