Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 2:27:00 A.M. to 08/18/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
14% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,916.31
Unexplained QUAI: 11,375.97
Explained QI: 1,204.67
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
11
61.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
13,292.28 QUAI
1,204.67 QI
Avg confidence
75.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 13292 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (86% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (14%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,206.68 QI across 5 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,044.7 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
871.61 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
604.42 QI across 3 visible rows
0x003562fca1121F1B3275f0c6D1F82a0Cd1fed6A9
Net receiver
Unknown type
596.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 602.42 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
26 tx
10,705.58 QUAI • 34 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:26:25 A.M.
+1 min
18 tx
13,292.28 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:27:38 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
10,086.12 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:25:14 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
3,560.39 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:28:49 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate39 tx
30,229.41 QUAI • 49 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:24:01 A.M.
+3 min
19 tx
15,797.17 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
-4 min
23 tx
20,963.3 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:22:49 A.M.
+4 min
17 tx
10,463.79 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:31:12 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
596.51 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:27:59 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003562fca1121F1B3275f0c6D1F82a0Cd1fed6A9
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
317.83 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:27:59 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00590068be4855385db70c6ee6486071dfa2ef1336d4985944de1c302fdc2b3d
596.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:27:59 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003562fca1121F1B3275f0c6D1F82a0Cd1fed6A9
Tx: 0x0073000dc13b59e160a861aa4d50cc4a5ae568af5571e88fcc22dc35ecbfb149
155.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:27:59 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003b765e56156BFb75DfE454377C595e14E88dCa
Tx: 0x0051003d4eab4faf752e098af0475976fd85f23aa53a08a8d9e16656c66edcee
249.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:27:28 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003B22f639A7A149De3ea47Fd46F70A42e5A0D8d
Tx: 0x00240061de0fd6727eabd26873ac580712d538042d70db4c895af8aad1ec63be
260.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:27:28 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034F71E0b2B37467BEc63dfE5ae1F5065c297C3
Tx: 0x003a000d83daf4668159480ae5b6b627f05a16cccaec8ffe5d9705851245e883
317.66 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:27:11 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x0056002acb33fea3a169b553061741eb1480e8db1fb5695a5a0388942e3cae81
187.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:27:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034c9818589329b7742f70e91ad5D9149417DE4
Tx: 0x00150029174686ca0f4119875fc402a4b26ad07f9235a2b985ec1e79eeb5f9fb
467.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:27:03 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003AbD43E562Af0b727B8D7A0f771646004e6286
Tx: 0x007500424119f523c3b95ee9964bb25be6b6793ff27b600372f1b886d6e8f5c0
284.58 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Tx: 0x005200263a700994598e20872dd80d87714debafd94e8d1a4d3cfc19119fbb9c
284.58 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0051003e95fd5745101f90db410e68d03d3431f343da9621204b3aa7320d4228
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004900448c890efeb47b203aaed4f75148785782b65487972be9a542ab38f473
