Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 2:24:00 A.M. to 08/18/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
33% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,086.12
Unexplained QUAI: 20,143.28
Explained QI: 634.73
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
1.4x previous minute
3.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
39
Observable rows
9
23.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
49
Asset volume
30,229.41 QUAI
634.73 QI
Avg confidence
68.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 30229 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (67% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (33%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,513.57 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,033.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0022c1B667e980817159357df9E5496E826bA828
Net sender
Unknown type
3,089 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,089 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,613.21 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate39 tx
30,229.41 QUAI • 49 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:24:01 A.M.
-1 min
23 tx
20,963.3 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:22:49 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
10,086.12 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:25:14 A.M.
-2 min
17 tx
3,928 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:21:38 A.M.
+2 min
26 tx
10,705.58 QUAI • 34 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:26:25 A.M.
-4 min
11 tx
2,574.23 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:20:25 A.M.
+4 min
18 tx
13,292.28 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:27:38 A.M.
-5 min
27 tx
13,187 QUAI • 38 addresses
08/18/2026, 2:19:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,033.72 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:24:18 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
317.85 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:24:45 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x000300031ad4c333f870a4ea3b228a4ef64f3e66ace0f0f3be92e01856c8f6a6
316.88 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:24:19 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001f001b21b1ee7e740690d66a715da9fef712e5d3be37b103cbab9c83db3bc1
4,033.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:24:18 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508
Tx: 0x005b0078d80851e3204d14fb647d299ce1267f072afb282d4c19b562663bcc05
149.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:24:18 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002773d48b4A834547e1339Aede3B9878b8F765D
Tx: 0x0046000390c0e92a244a9e5edb91887c378448d337617382fb1be9b3dbb3e1db
291.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:24:18 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006f8ad5513be8BCDAcD85d3c2560CC8FE348912
Tx: 0x006f007142ef79df81deab0fe9decc48fd831537458f247170a1cd19f492cd17
579.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:24:05 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006bd1C12342D6ADA4d7cB54A8484f73808350DD
Tx: 0x0009001f94efa28529ebd3038960f43c54a136076b377494f7626d525a6d273b
479.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:24:05 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Tx: 0x0016002ea2e17a23b4f1e8b334c34a39540ea1ca376c9a089a7240abe4455797
1,463.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:24:05 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA
Tx: 0x001c0022d9135c751dbfb968fa6cb6e5e53217dee450081080d225f01fe18eac
3,089 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 2:24:05 A.M.
From: 0x0022c1B667e980817159357df9E5496E826bA828
To: 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
Tx: 0x00170017cf8e0a67408119894ef23fed6147098bdb24690e65e5f52fdbf87c22