Spike bucket
08/17/2026, 11:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/17/2026, 11:05:00 P.M. to 08/17/2026, 11:06:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 157.96
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
157.96 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x001a12A2e9796dE43550dD019be23cbfeC83A27E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 158 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x001a12A2e9796dE43550dD019be23cbfeC83A27E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/17/2026, 11:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
157.96 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001a12A2e9796dE43550dD019be23cbfeC83A27E
Net receiver
Unknown type
105.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00563582EEA080363408418F8C22E33A6701CA1f
Net receiver
Unknown type
52.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/17/2026, 11:04:49 P.M.
-1 min
53 tx
773.44 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/17/2026, 11:03:39 P.M.
+1 min
53 tx
1,510.54 QUAI • 56 addresses
08/17/2026, 11:06:00 P.M.
+2 min
9 tx
251.09 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/17/2026, 11:07:11 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/17/2026, 11:02:28 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/17/2026, 11:08:22 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate7 tx
2,226.55 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/17/2026, 11:01:17 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/17/2026, 11:00:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
105.92 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 11:05:27 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x001a12A2e9796dE43550dD019be23cbfeC83A27E
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
52.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 11:05:43 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x00563582EEA080363408418F8C22E33A6701CA1f
Tx: 0x0050000165e3bd2351be71a51f67ca69a91011d275615e3c36375bb42661ceab
105.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 11:05:27 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x001a12A2e9796dE43550dD019be23cbfeC83A27E
Tx: 0x0023005f7ac1ea45c6c11e9dda9a4fd2bd8769188929922950484cf261f93499