Spike bucket
08/17/2026, 9:31:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/17/2026, 9:31:00 P.M. to 08/17/2026, 9:32:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,065.5
Unexplained QUAI: 3.05
Explained QI: 802.83
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
11
91.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
1,068.55 QUAI
802.83 QI
Avg confidence
70.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0059626DFf32F34BBFb60869B3ACCc3E919fDd13.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 1069 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0059626DFf32F34BBFb60869B3ACCc3E919fDd13.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/17/2026, 9:31:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,065.5 QUAI across 8 visible rows
0x0059626DFf32F34BBFb60869B3ACCc3E919fDd13
Net sender
Unknown type
1,001.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
802.83 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
802.83 QI across 3 visible rows
0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Net sender
Unknown type
34.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 802.83 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
12 tx
1,068.55 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/17/2026, 9:31:29 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/17/2026, 9:30:18 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/17/2026, 9:29:08 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
1,460.6 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/17/2026, 9:32:40 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/17/2026, 9:27:57 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/17/2026, 9:33:51 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate6 tx
8,404.32 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/17/2026, 9:26:46 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
8,289.8 QUAI • 3 addresses
08/17/2026, 9:35:02 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,001.59 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:31:02 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0059626DFf32F34BBFb60869B3ACCc3E919fDd13
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
267.79 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:31:47 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00230058ea31e9bb938b9ed0c73e54ef922a51a0c1946467ebf6bbcd1a626baa
267.84 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:31:32 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0032006483835a6ebe65d4ceec3baf1ad756fae502a07d6daa68a89d5fcb3dfe
2.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:31:05 P.M.
From: 0x00585160E8466d30d02Bb3b2fBE7d929ac62D556
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007500751838ba5f51106f953d176a89377f2cdd4cad225a11b93b192e0f04ee
3.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:31:05 P.M.
From: 0x00673ecBb6b73B2228C33445D9cA88f48D5831DA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00180060cca0d6697af40bccf192e5cbca5fb7e90fbd8a35f83b7b0edeb46677
3.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:31:05 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0025001fd479ee94f63643e984e27af56888d458f3248a36c0fd5c6738f276d2
2.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:31:05 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0039005053ddd80c263800575c6b1dfea93afb496c941d35c97b44c3edb99f96
267.19 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:31:02 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0044004c4f9d3f4fc418db53d86b75e00638661fa5a80b0a7a7e13ece2062ade
1,001.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:31:02 P.M.
From: 0x0059626DFf32F34BBFb60869B3ACCc3E919fDd13
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001b006343aa9573923d9a39ab25ce25d1243114c0c5937c7c84280c94c41822
2.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:31:02 P.M.
From: 0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002f002c0722d54083aeda22ba3c0a8882bad5af8b8c5333a9749964b8ee6790
34.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:31:02 P.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002100479f01851fcd32fc541a695904e853e1f5db75fe149d277e7813bed64b
14.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:31:02 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00270027548e9bad10093c228b3d152bb88180c658f713fde191e9cec23a304b