Spike bucket
08/17/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/17/2026, 4:07:00 P.M. to 08/17/2026, 4:08:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
84% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 528.57
Unexplained QUAI: 100
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 394.82
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
6.0x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
10
76.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
628.57 QUAI
394.82 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 629 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/17/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
528.57 QUAI across 10 visible rows
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
221.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
121.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002536BB0CcD07e62c83B286069BA9f73250eaA0
Net receiver
Unknown type
101.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
Net receiver
Unknown type
40.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
628.57 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/17/2026, 4:07:22 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
105.28 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/17/2026, 4:06:12 P.M.
-2 min
52 tx
868.91 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/17/2026, 4:05:00 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/17/2026, 4:08:33 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate51 tx
981.51 QUAI • 53 addresses
08/17/2026, 4:03:49 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
12.83 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/17/2026, 4:09:44 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/17/2026, 4:02:38 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
697.45 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/17/2026, 4:10:54 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
221.47 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
13.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0037da737aAf5e405ECF40243874f9A6fEba3F20
Tx: 0x002d0040e4f6c155a006b204e1110cbda93f7732e4230cdfb22bda4ab9412ab1
5.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
Tx: 0x003b001d9f92b2229969ca1e515bd13c1097bec83265300fce35d4f15ffc2bb5
121.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x00010019c502afd17269c4ba114a7721295014d2c9d16333f11f87d829cbe7bf
4.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006b2C5697124FFFd4F47c4C48c51e21B593cF1D
Tx: 0x0039001b4574eda0398122b21d371264f49b5c87495cd7181b61af79884326ef
9.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003C076bf5A11550C99AF32F325d618A96030635
Tx: 0x001500006428195a8618e68e0177435b6d40efe2acd6e80608c0c170704224d0
4.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x006100706710ec5f74aa826cfb9d69deb9f83712cff02c39e50cc6c2a5bd1c30
221.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x004f000546d9c9fe929ac5f1d97d15d93baa5d285c6efbfc853a988c6245fcae
101.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002536BB0CcD07e62c83B286069BA9f73250eaA0
Tx: 0x006800231467f6b0c0d6528247c851d3fca8387eef7cd8317c2ba635732a381a
40.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
Tx: 0x002400135ce4278e34c6159bd07eb2958186e59b7b2f2c693deebe5d70f77f9c
4.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0063C504CD47Cc115338f4130026576471a3F4B3
Tx: 0x004c002cb7b3b016042d608ea8cea7fd349605a8d9b5a365a6c08b71d95af5cb
