Spike bucket
08/17/2026, 12:35:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/17/2026, 12:35:00 P.M. to 08/17/2026, 12:36:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,681.06
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 332.79
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
8
80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
9,681.06 QUAI
332.79 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 9681 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/17/2026, 12:35:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
9,678 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,869.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net sender
Unknown type
1,316.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
Net sender
Unknown type
1,213.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 332.79 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 9,678 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
9,999.16 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/17/2026, 12:34:40 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
9,681.06 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/17/2026, 12:35:51 P.M.
-2 min
14 tx
49,289.7 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/17/2026, 12:33:29 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate1 tx
190,000 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/17/2026, 12:37:03 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/17/2026, 12:32:16 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/17/2026, 12:38:15 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
7.1 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/17/2026, 12:31:06 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/17/2026, 12:39:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,999.48 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 12:35:14 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
166.39 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 12:35:40 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0050001f30863a767ccd55f074fee5913ec82998a5bc236f6c8ac13d04995027
166.39 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 12:35:40 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00580049c0f122ba0c66b4b900970f4414f1e243741b2b1e536c40526eeec853
3.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 12:35:14 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x00590075f1af5f9e0a8d11c2783269837ecfb473ed5b7e7673a93c680714809f
4,999.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 12:35:14 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005300614ed47e69a6b8dd68e2904ecb37f15088a4f23b805f8a30565632a3f0
1,213.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 12:35:14 P.M.
From: 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0032007b87306d9bbbbdbf4de878a77f3adb7741225d86cc2430a3cc244d8b0f
1,316.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 12:35:14 P.M.
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c001f43519bc5f87d587d0f67fcc09ea5908a7812fca098b27e7c1da0cc5c
1,869.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 12:35:14 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003000560d2007d68e5eb55a20acfc01b0655e781e19b42f44b03941c66a64d8
279.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 12:35:14 P.M.
From: 0x004B1142B8e19C0D2364C4257860dB77C3bb208f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000600690b3f365c91fc138579576aabb9839e0becb9c2083f474863b9a61cd6