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Spike bucket

08/17/2026, 9:11:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/17/2026, 9:11:00 A.M. to 08/17/2026, 9:12:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 68.75
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 78% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
68.75 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 69 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/17/2026, 9:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
53.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
15.31 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
Net sender
Unknown type
5.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
Net sender
Unknown type
5.27 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

53.44 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:11:26 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1

All transfers in this selected minute

4 transactions
5.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:11:26 A.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004700372cca8569e51e15f8d58ccc3995c43254206652dfb0f47c4f475454da
Open txWallet profile
4.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:11:26 A.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00460017f92b3b18b1997db7d11205fb8076827f2551972eedfde5100ace943f
Open txWallet profile
53.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:11:26 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1
Tx: 0x0003001e28d6685eb9307c1420cd1b83f729f0b1f1107ebe823902da53a6b5ff
5.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:11:26 A.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00380077991d484bda54a9fcd2500b76d1fbba77370e72d89e0cbe82309463fb
Open txWallet profile