Spike bucket
08/17/2026, 9:02:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/17/2026, 9:02:00 A.M. to 08/17/2026, 9:03:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
62% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 124.12
Unexplained QUAI: 74.57
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 81% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.0x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
198.69 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x001a12A2e9796dE43550dD019be23cbfeC83A27E.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 199 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x001a12A2e9796dE43550dD019be23cbfeC83A27E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/17/2026, 9:02:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (38% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
124.12 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001a12A2e9796dE43550dD019be23cbfeC83A27E
Net receiver
Unknown type
100.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Net receiver
Unknown type
23.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
198.69 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/17/2026, 9:02:24 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
198.69 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/17/2026, 9:01:13 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
2,039.49 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/17/2026, 8:59:59 A.M.
+2 min
52 tx
2,613.3 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/17/2026, 9:03:35 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/17/2026, 8:58:49 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/17/2026, 9:04:46 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate1 tx
17,428.53 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/17/2026, 8:57:39 A.M.
+4 min
33 tx
1,087.59 QUAI • 46 addresses
08/17/2026, 9:05:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
100.24 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:02:27 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x001a12A2e9796dE43550dD019be23cbfeC83A27E
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
23.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:02:45 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Tx: 0x0002007cbe2a37ec316c1779386d23f50df799c1638a68b72dd9396f8acd3fb7
100.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 9:02:27 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x001a12A2e9796dE43550dD019be23cbfeC83A27E
Tx: 0x002a0013587f281a634318f06837169b104e6579ee9ddf4e8dc50c46e0fd3ff8