Spike bucket
08/17/2026, 8:01:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/17/2026, 8:01:00 A.M. to 08/17/2026, 8:02:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 23,067.88
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 87% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
2,284.83 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 2285 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/17/2026, 8:01:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
Net sender
Unknown type
3,062.28 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0004cA7D720B6c7950b659008fCD713b6111D4c4
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,716.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc
Net receiver
Unknown type
583.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
2,284.83 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/17/2026, 8:01:07 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/17/2026, 7:59:56 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
24,315.98 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/17/2026, 8:02:17 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
30 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/17/2026, 7:58:46 A.M.
+2 min
51 tx
12,034.17 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/17/2026, 8:03:29 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0.13 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/17/2026, 7:57:36 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/17/2026, 8:04:39 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
2 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/17/2026, 7:56:25 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.12 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 8:01:24 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
444.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 8:01:54 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x00107d12a17dF9f0d5816C0A3CD28C1EBb96e39c
Tx: 0x004f00203addf94fb54db35ed32db3527c6d207858a42201860f81ad62bf33b6
583.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 8:01:37 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc
Tx: 0x0031005b78109faab855dffc9b32653f02bef9a8fb987349c61b6d501e7de043
19,999.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 8:01:24 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x00320013bc7566aa269a33ad7cb9d6b3df91aec98bcb3db79d503f1b16f6a2c5
318.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 8:01:24 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x0054403727995A1b50197b34D7D6E64e70C068e1
Tx: 0x005d000ce4c5b01a81b37073af3d2d116b0196fb28d64d7b3e2dbfc99fd5376a
1,716.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 8:01:24 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x0004cA7D720B6c7950b659008fCD713b6111D4c4
Tx: 0x0032007a62468c4d945d3c1e870051e9d7f669707d77046bc5e9987440aaefc1
6.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 8:01:24 A.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006b0044fdef7b2106156ca7e35947f3de1c485e61be992bf0b9ac0b37c76563