Spike bucket
08/17/2026, 5:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/17/2026, 5:12:00 A.M. to 08/17/2026, 5:13:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,316.39
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 93% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0078538D5FaF72Aeb6805642EC8F88F4c32427C9 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0078538D5FaF72Aeb6805642EC8F88F4c32427C9 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/17/2026, 5:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0078538D5FaF72Aeb6805642EC8F88F4c32427C9
Net sender
Unknown type
6,773.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,773.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda
Net sender
Unknown type
405 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002117281F4EC5EFdB96f595f71842944192D371
Net receiver
Unknown type
405 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
Net sender
Unknown type
111.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/17/2026, 5:12:10 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate8 tx
7,681.49 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/17/2026, 5:11:00 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
7,423.08 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/17/2026, 5:13:20 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
100.02 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/17/2026, 5:09:49 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
125.57 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/17/2026, 5:08:39 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
1,825.47 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/17/2026, 5:14:31 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
99.31 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/17/2026, 5:15:41 A.M.
-5 min
41 tx
1,352.05 QUAI • 52 addresses
08/17/2026, 5:07:27 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,773.56 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 5:12:28 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0078538D5FaF72Aeb6805642EC8F88F4c32427C9
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
111.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 5:12:50 A.M.
From: 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x003d0007a972b3f82779f30b2ea36c91575d79dad071c5d1d526e0d946cc9274
6,773.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 5:12:28 A.M.
From: 0x0078538D5FaF72Aeb6805642EC8F88F4c32427C9
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x001a0069c3cbc868f5184d80e7d1249a84bc9839e4a7977c0bd0783de8538a3a
25.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 5:12:28 A.M.
From: 0x0076693aDE0282Ee9dE8EB5AE39e95EFEba8Fdf7
To: 0x00052106c220f2Fcd40d8ee8C4478673C1E05522
Tx: 0x00090052feab16bb8643af154dbef4fcff74356780837120c8da8f98b71cccd0
405 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 5:12:28 A.M.
From: 0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda
To: 0x002117281F4EC5EFdB96f595f71842944192D371
Tx: 0x006c0061b162bab80ee89d8cf2f3da5ec2df6b99ef4f73bf38385edc1cbd4adc
