Spike bucket
08/17/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/17/2026, 5:09:00 A.M. to 08/17/2026, 5:10:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 150.18
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
100.02 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x006f56Ac78e7274d88bD5dBBd382bb38f83427F0.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 100 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x006f56Ac78e7274d88bD5dBBd382bb38f83427F0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/17/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
150.18 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006f56Ac78e7274d88bD5dBBd382bb38f83427F0
Net receiver
Unknown type
100.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003cC4c63a4bCB119AD611c5e7Feb1b8064b9034
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
125.57 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/17/2026, 5:08:39 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
100.02 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/17/2026, 5:09:49 A.M.
-2 min
41 tx
1,352.05 QUAI • 52 addresses
08/17/2026, 5:07:27 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
7,681.49 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/17/2026, 5:11:00 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
51.49 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/17/2026, 5:06:17 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/17/2026, 5:12:10 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate51 tx
127,748.49 QUAI • 65 addresses
08/17/2026, 5:05:06 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
7,423.08 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/17/2026, 5:13:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
100.02 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 5:09:31 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x006f56Ac78e7274d88bD5dBBd382bb38f83427F0
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
50.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 5:09:58 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x003cC4c63a4bCB119AD611c5e7Feb1b8064b9034
Tx: 0x0039002e7eae047e3a0944061563e8be78f84e93ea80dd838383e59399321b7d
100.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 5:09:31 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x006f56Ac78e7274d88bD5dBBd382bb38f83427F0
Tx: 0x000b00758c506a77a59de478f382f75aa17455e26c8cc8cc3820eb2c7d9e58c4