Spike bucket
08/17/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/17/2026, 2:53:00 A.M. to 08/17/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
14% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,014.37
Unexplained QUAI: 50,408.98
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 85% of explained volume
Relative context
4.3x above local average
11x previous minute
5.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
58,423.35 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 58423 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/17/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (86% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (14%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
7,038.13 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,784.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303
Net sender
Unknown type
494 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087
Net receiver
Unknown type
494 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
482.24 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
58,423.35 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:53:15 A.M.
-1 min
15 tx
5,501.42 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:52:03 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
11,454.69 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:54:25 A.M.
-2 min
22 tx
18,139.91 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:50:51 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
7,120.23 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:49:39 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
3,939.97 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:55:36 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
1,182.42 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:56:47 A.M.
-5 min
10 tx
2,597.02 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:48:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,784.48 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:53:18 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
253.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:53:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0051B5cDcf4f8e98c8D7BE45548C2Ca93f57a611
Tx: 0x007b005b676deb27304c2ba1964674e778584e259519b6c3c2a64627c01ed0b3
221.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:53:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00387aF4e7716a65D78748bB9f520e39B09a185D
Tx: 0x0068006004fbd5b004aa7d46770e0d42b94c1b49c7a171ca1248e9b75a12752f
6,784.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:53:18 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
Tx: 0x001200179ba335a0d3f9cd30e464540b05d785a9f5fbb7f4fe986ce01d409674
260.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:53:18 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00385AE34cE18C52D03Dc1C6B091E15976f4377E
Tx: 0x005e007c3cc79f467e2695e618a82bbfdcf497e82342e94979957984ac32f2ab
494 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:53:18 A.M.
From: 0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303
To: 0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087
Tx: 0x00250046f5666ec862e0147da0dc87931b73cdf4067449e612f34b9c892ca998