Spike bucket
08/17/2026, 2:34:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/17/2026, 2:34:00 A.M. to 08/17/2026, 2:35:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
29% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,129.35
Unexplained QUAI: 2,729.07
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 81% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.1x previous minute
3.4x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
3
37.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
3,858.42 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00239812dAd1583Bf5C81326E3448F273f6628f2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 3858 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00239812dAd1583Bf5C81326E3448F273f6628f2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/17/2026, 2:34:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (71% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (29%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
919.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00239812dAd1583Bf5C81326E3448F273f6628f2
Net receiver
Unknown type
919.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
161.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004da2233CD6F20Ca1379E54b4D70f2bC0d5c799
Net receiver
Unknown type
161.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
48.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
3,858.42 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:34:16 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate37 tx
28,161.08 QUAI • 50 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:33:03 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
1,129.35 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:35:27 A.M.
-2 min
19 tx
3,585.31 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:31:51 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
619.2 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:30:41 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
8,117.33 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:36:38 A.M.
-4 min
15 tx
5,332.54 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:29:30 A.M.
+4 min
15 tx
6,853.35 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:37:49 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
919.54 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:34:41 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00239812dAd1583Bf5C81326E3448F273f6628f2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
919.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:34:41 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00239812dAd1583Bf5C81326E3448F273f6628f2
Tx: 0x0036000a6daddcccdfc50f2a84f5d25bef3404bedeeece364f494fb0081cb3a9
161.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:34:41 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004da2233CD6F20Ca1379E54b4D70f2bC0d5c799
Tx: 0x003f007d52e067c9c165052425785c142c8817985487b5018b969ed0c198734a
48.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:34:41 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00387ac4188512465F232B2f53496D28D884f6fB
Tx: 0x007a000d74628636e27419a1975435dd233d2b58414e5bd439883dc5c0a7a260