Spike bucket
08/17/2026, 2:33:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/17/2026, 2:33:00 A.M. to 08/17/2026, 2:34:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
14% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,858.42
Unexplained QUAI: 24,302.66
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
3.9x above local average
7.9x previous minute
7.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
37
Observable rows
8
21.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
50
Asset volume
28,161.08 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x000Dc15799Dd3450d23F5b34e1298357B150fA3a.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 28161 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x000Dc15799Dd3450d23F5b34e1298357B150fA3a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/17/2026, 2:33:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (86% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (14%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
1,358.14 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000Dc15799Dd3450d23F5b34e1298357B150fA3a
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,145.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,046.72 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
792.79 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0037EaF8035A70983425ff150E8DD18706c7AA7d
Net receiver
Unknown type
771.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate37 tx
28,161.08 QUAI • 50 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:33:03 A.M.
-1 min
19 tx
3,585.31 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:31:51 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
3,858.42 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:34:16 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
619.2 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:30:41 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
1,129.35 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:35:27 A.M.
-3 min
15 tx
5,332.54 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:29:30 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
8,117.33 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:36:38 A.M.
-5 min
6 tx
6,500.34 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:28:17 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,145.52 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x000Dc15799Dd3450d23F5b34e1298357B150fA3a
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:33:24 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0023017E35176D093A766f758b30EE21ccc3d153
Tx: 0x007f0050fb0ec3d7c3a214b80f4ef1a4a1123ac1bd699b2ce29e98bd57cc92df
156.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:33:24 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004d7d37b5d2E79BcFA4bd9588f41E039c50Cf72
Tx: 0x002200370cfdf7bcbd092a56025fad01d1e1d9a3690d882c49e536e345056a98
274.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:33:24 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00384Df89D1C65769c673E00dAC6A8800C06bc9d
Tx: 0x002700139eb18967d3ea8217c34f47112b0fbe80865130cd92905a6f9fd3c7f6
771.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0037EaF8035A70983425ff150E8DD18706c7AA7d
Tx: 0x0040007e43423b69a0636057f04783ea463192c35015cb96724a2e13844782d2
576.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0022C84B3BEFEE6663887eC3f7Ea7d524CF375b4
Tx: 0x0004001d5325133029827b7ce26a2ae666e7fa7ea549579ecdc0c8d87acdd452
636.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004d0Edc831bF62375a7b8D3e7DC0F1914eE8d21
Tx: 0x00270059eb977f2909b8e01a6110521a1e2077cf9b506e72714b93da9ad3abff
1,145.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x000Dc15799Dd3450d23F5b34e1298357B150fA3a
Tx: 0x007f0078ba76a5c1a9b1b4acf7815a3b9e75dcd0d43e149cdc2abd94b8ddd808
212.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: StratumX miner
0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x006f003f3444005528248ad9f4a1e2f397935c6728bcad47f542b42b1b46923d
