Spike bucket
08/17/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/17/2026, 2:25:00 A.M. to 08/17/2026, 2:26:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
92% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 11,281.63
Unexplained QUAI: 984.89
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
2.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
13
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
12,266.52 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 12267 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/17/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
7,513.68 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,262.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,176.22 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,211.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
588.86 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
12 tx
5,484.41 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:24:44 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
5,290.53 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:23:33 A.M.
+1 min
13 tx
12,266.52 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:25:55 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
4,995.5 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:27:06 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate21 tx
13,767.49 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:22:22 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
6,500.34 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:28:17 A.M.
-4 min
13 tx
4,165.96 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:21:11 A.M.
-5 min
8 tx
1,684.87 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,262.86 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:25:22 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
308.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:25:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
Tx: 0x000d00067c91d7d92278da332adc867c2d4326a37acb9add1c898fe3a1d22662
35.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:25:56 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Tx: 0x000c006bdeda1affd704bf3b1aaba57d57ac9b67ffdb388a243d206406692db0
40.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:25:56 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002696dD862D6588EE7501Ea56A8406FC0eCa653
Tx: 0x0065003a89c68297f30e6a175135a3e30047c0de129bfafee6195ab1d881b38b
2,211.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:25:32 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x001700710f450869a7b4faeb8e4de9b86d942093da5fe1a5de8e827a3dc85e31
113.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:25:32 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002CEc8C4df92b406c2A9cb6f64C5f8c510761Fe
Tx: 0x00050002233eb0446386871cf5c4364af1de04f33a1f18d976f966ff94c5b0d0
174.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:25:32 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0024D122C5CcBAC26c45Db649dC45f1b9E952a89
Tx: 0x0032001710045a073f513eb61c2a609029bf1171924182aea5743c1dcccea7d1
440.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:25:22 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000f199409379202d1F55Ca5ce1442D80c698156
Tx: 0x0078004a3e99ff52aadb0fd5a4e6d5295165cb0ac5b45ad5651ae9d42e05cb9f
7,262.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:25:22 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
Tx: 0x00700050f7e408f5df85e0d46edca49561bdc2e030b18044a9395ae7bc3ff909
67.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:25:22 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002957DEd54dE17508b179993989978e448690cD
Tx: 0x0022005e60b8c351ed0c9943de3e7a98a8da93334f7106e2f14c7f2ce728df7e
35.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:25:05 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0022685e8Ee57Cfb4400e6ADC1f70184Fb26E7B2
Tx: 0x0019001cf428817492b73863b648e985c570dcbfa1ccbd581a354fe1b3941153
215.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:25:05 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Tx: 0x0071001e60a4ec16995487a308c2b7a793051a20e4533f7f519ea981d2920cc2
373.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:25:05 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0027a5bC35F2EA14fB6427668a2233eE5DDE73bD
Tx: 0x002a0035eb581d1d55e612b713889b69ee2a8c12039d47589a5926a1e42bbf7a
2.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:25:05 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x0043003533c366c4dc6fcb70d44eb2aa42414e65cf9966e057d89bff4046b90b