Spike bucket
08/17/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/17/2026, 2:17:00 A.M. to 08/17/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
4% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 91.28
Unexplained QUAI: 2,304.03
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
2,395.32 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D • 0x000dD45541bfE94D596Ed13796303561012858F7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2395 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D • 0x000dD45541bfE94D596Ed13796303561012858F7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/17/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
54.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000dD45541bfE94D596Ed13796303561012858F7
Net receiver
Unknown type
54.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
36.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0009305d3260ec90aA88DA7EF7107e57EB1F25ce
Net receiver
Unknown type
36.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate9 tx
14,376.49 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:16:26 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
2,395.32 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:17:37 A.M.
-2 min
19 tx
7,956.46 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:15:15 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
782.36 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:18:49 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
12,098.87 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:14:04 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
1,684.87 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,599 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:12:54 A.M.
+4 min
13 tx
4,165.96 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/17/2026, 2:21:11 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
54.54 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:17:50 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000dD45541bfE94D596Ed13796303561012858F7
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
36.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:17:50 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0009305d3260ec90aA88DA7EF7107e57EB1F25ce
Tx: 0x006c0005b6cee2e8c23afd9818fdf56906a31576a268d4b6a8cdd75f4824e435
54.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/17/2026, 2:17:50 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000dD45541bfE94D596Ed13796303561012858F7
Tx: 0x0048006042d5e320ca553f656fc1f350f6d48776f22e68d589637336437468d6