Spike bucket
08/16/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/16/2026, 10:11:00 P.M. to 08/16/2026, 10:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 545.83
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
7.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
545.83 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 546 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/16/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
545.83 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
Net sender
Unknown type
123.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
Net sender
Unknown type
108.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
Net sender
Unknown type
106.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0052Ec5b0c17f72a92c1B12F8276443D917D3900
Net sender
Unknown type
105.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 545.83 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
7.65 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/16/2026, 10:10:40 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
545.83 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/16/2026, 10:11:50 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/16/2026, 10:09:29 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/16/2026, 10:13:01 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/16/2026, 10:08:19 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/16/2026, 10:14:11 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/16/2026, 10:07:09 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/16/2026, 10:15:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
123.8 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 10:11:16 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
100.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 10:11:16 P.M.
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d006a4ac159fb2342c9350835b638837833f0679cb1c05db87e971cf90748
108.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 10:11:16 P.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001200093007f139bec97804d6bd8323940e6784de42087240bfdd8513b4dbe2
106.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 10:11:16 P.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00780025878de0bffdc19f3b1428283cab77d5487b6fe620ccc2408cdec7ffae
105.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 10:11:16 P.M.
From: 0x0052Ec5b0c17f72a92c1B12F8276443D917D3900
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00410004120a3492baf91dd18b8c3f0c42d7622cf6d1b2b11aadc829530d1399
123.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 10:11:16 P.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d0043240d0a074c8eaa38ff66d22cdd3319769f2af0a6bbcd62e9ddf1a58c