Spike bucket
08/16/2026, 7:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/16/2026, 7:11:00 P.M. to 08/16/2026, 7:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,647
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
86x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
1,647 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1647 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/16/2026, 7:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,647 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35
Net sender
Unknown type
909.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net sender
Unknown type
427.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0036eFB8D70493c0c033e5cF97EA4Cec2C0e9dd6
Net sender
Unknown type
106.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Net sender
Unknown type
103.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,647 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
19,998.89 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/16/2026, 7:10:50 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
19.09 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/16/2026, 7:09:40 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
1,647 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/16/2026, 7:12:01 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate11 tx
20,465.41 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/16/2026, 7:08:30 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/16/2026, 7:13:11 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
8,862.96 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/16/2026, 7:14:21 P.M.
-4 min
51 tx
2,276.25 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/16/2026, 7:07:19 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
19,999.23 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/16/2026, 7:06:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
909.66 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 7:11:58 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
427.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 7:11:58 P.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00640002e27f6ca647d79bd435e04879e4eccea2f8678255795df9b94b7e9d04
909.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 7:11:58 P.M.
From: 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c000af01de52ec7b704f6fae5d236715b1567750169579b6bef5b97d78838
99.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 7:11:58 P.M.
From: 0x00307ce5b07B2776A657c069e17b9bB5a6b09B97
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003800047f63c5c31668722fefeb24c1ea3b00c45180330809847a07934b4a05
103.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 7:11:58 P.M.
From: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a005d604b6d938a85ccfffd144d287f79597a1f04953517719ef48ef2e32c
106.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 7:11:58 P.M.
From: 0x0036eFB8D70493c0c033e5cF97EA4Cec2C0e9dd6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000000461c152a3947fd414a035c3925727abc58ca7bbc5e6a303f858d549c99