Spike bucket
08/16/2026, 6:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/16/2026, 6:07:00 P.M. to 08/16/2026, 6:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,016.77
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
461.85 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 462 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/16/2026, 6:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,554.93 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,476.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
461.85 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x003AB08cdF10109C2Dcc6c6c0256203a2A2848ea
Net sender
Unknown type
410.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11
Net sender
Unknown type
288.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,554.93 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
461.85 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/16/2026, 6:07:23 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate72 tx
24,799.76 QUAI • 84 addresses
08/16/2026, 6:06:11 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/16/2026, 6:05:01 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
2,554.93 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/16/2026, 6:08:33 P.M.
-3 min
50 tx
1,021.02 QUAI • 59 addresses
08/16/2026, 6:03:50 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
8.6 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/16/2026, 6:09:44 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/16/2026, 6:02:40 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/16/2026, 6:10:54 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,476.61 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 6:07:53 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
410.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 6:07:53 P.M.
From: 0x003AB08cdF10109C2Dcc6c6c0256203a2A2848ea
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d0014481440115439136567bc3d1cda3d7b1abf0cd861e1b8b0c518838aef
288.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 6:07:53 P.M.
From: 0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007200503352f3327da1a88339429025cca00d864bcfa0ed9984516829084f03
1,476.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 6:07:53 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005700621aa0f3e48641f26744c951368c98ba196bea4bc8efccff4c3c470249
124.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 6:07:53 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0026002ab26522b9c5797de2ac24093ecb64a717331d4cfb8471eacc618a1764
150.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 6:07:53 P.M.
From: 0x004892aD449BebE4617CCAA19E4e66111BC9ea23
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a005d09711088504e33de7864204543da19e58e19d71dec4f137d46da9b6c
104 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 6:07:53 P.M.
From: 0x002f0a15A0B1f395E93823f17e4d65629307Ea9f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a0006fc3372049fa87e51caaf6b98ab19c29b76c384d90553190a1b9a12ed
28.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 6:07:13 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x0034006cf9cd725863b340a9d622add5f443d9afc4604358e020fc3cc2d59b47
155.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 6:07:13 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x000c00112284dc468615deaea8a8087e3c9e90d2372e452986345cbbf3ef07e0
226.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 6:07:13 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x00260012be0db1dfd017ae018c79941ef318fbe70b934f55e3e3661bceb2ff0b
45.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 6:07:13 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
Tx: 0x00650069588f1765ce6b4f2465f183406eb86c73d5f27a46f8656a4ba883f544
5.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 6:07:13 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x005e005b08ff2ffb8e1e470e2ca7b39c85f9f1d0a4a0dcb7ff3ae40538ce701d