Spike bucket
08/16/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/16/2026, 3:25:00 P.M. to 08/16/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
11% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,042.81
Unexplained QUAI: 25,596.62
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 15% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
21
Observable rows
8
38.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
28,639.43 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00054a786531c76C6FEE8ea225EEA43aEc70643c.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 28639 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00054a786531c76C6FEE8ea225EEA43aEc70643c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/16/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (89% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (11%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,042.81 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00054a786531c76C6FEE8ea225EEA43aEc70643c
Net sender
Unknown type
453.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0002D61224A089B9d53C9045d1F133dDCDF0F8dA
Net sender
Unknown type
394.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Net sender
Unknown type
386.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078c5D3BBd2B085E92ba4c3fc53681575C2a255
Net sender
Unknown type
375.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,042.81 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
21 tx
28,639.43 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:25:17 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:24:07 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
22,987.62 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:26:29 P.M.
-2 min
14 tx
25,768.11 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:22:56 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate15 tx
375,556.68 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:21:42 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:27:40 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:20:32 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:28:51 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
453.03 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00054a786531c76C6FEE8ea225EEA43aEc70643c
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
368.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:25:18 P.M.
From: 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006600684908fe421159c79f0672bc7010c04daf59c3d4ab30b82717693d961d
356.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:25:18 P.M.
From: 0x006013336a20187f7eC52e8C98caF5b3340E007d
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002200379d9a4db94a4cce01787ef710e98d201fd3cf9b5fe56d147f4f37fd9a
375.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:25:18 P.M.
From: 0x0078c5D3BBd2B085E92ba4c3fc53681575C2a255
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00230024d630d3d92ea1bd1e7ee32b6aa70510fcade056069c69c89163e16126
357.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:25:18 P.M.
From: 0x002cfc437ef6Df2e9eF3f15A2af70ddf4BcF46C8
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f0052abccf18d54d71347d6fbf900c0263a81b1e456208733e4c5b9de8ee0
386.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:25:18 P.M.
From: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00200027f031e898b7846a7aa79d74356296554550fff8ce7061a82d3fd2b4b5
350.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
From: 0x007f445007977f177663c0Dd44a1E6a812329d64
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0043005a742868516118b11be67c1908440ab64c81a114cf1936811ee7a266af
453.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
From: 0x00054a786531c76C6FEE8ea225EEA43aEc70643c
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0015004792e3cd3d12f96d69d4dec64a70e212a72c90d9244991776971de100d
394.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
From: 0x0002D61224A089B9d53C9045d1F133dDCDF0F8dA
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e00287b4d67f17cb6ca466b99a8473e0bb65c4fa8c88ff9ea89c9f24496f3