Spike bucket
08/16/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/16/2026, 3:21:00 P.M. to 08/16/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
16% coverage
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 59,810.72
Unexplained QUAI: 315,745.97
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 17% of explained volume
Relative context
6.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
10
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
375,556.68 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x007813a4b515c47C1058E8455D319840A18d60f6.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 375557 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 38
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x007813a4b515c47C1058E8455D319840A18d60f6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/16/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (84% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (16%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
59,810.72 QUAI across 10 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007813a4b515c47C1058E8455D319840A18d60f6
Net sender
Unknown type
9,999.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
Net sender
Unknown type
9,582.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
Net sender
Unknown type
9,149.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00196cd933929373dFB2E0c76206A5ae4Aa95838
Net sender
Unknown type
8,655.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 59,810.72 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:20:32 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate15 tx
375,556.68 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:21:42 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:19:21 P.M.
+2 min
14 tx
25,768.11 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:22:56 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
307.79 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:18:11 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:24:07 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
19,998.85 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:17:00 P.M.
+4 min
21 tx
28,639.43 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:25:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,999.66 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:21:18 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007813a4b515c47C1058E8455D319840A18d60f6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
2,761.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:21:26 P.M.
From: 0x001Ca6E57B29399995673dEa29ecCCa67FA006eB
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002900014d41436f2df5bc02291a874ffc96c22322925f3766bf7233af66578e
2,792.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:21:18 P.M.
From: 0x00369F48Dc4F9f35326c761EEe01290fBaDF59D0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e004aaf7f92d4f17651acb7c25a470de109c9e06b4bad1fcc201a242ad67b
2,784.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:21:18 P.M.
From: 0x0025A29636671DE5ca3C812cb7bF4f3FB1A8eB7c
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b004530e412e95b1e6f6b0633a4eefdf7b570747e280cc32a988ec0e84525
3,693.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:21:18 P.M.
From: 0x001d342c0cB8B93C5D40065B27D35AAdbED4cfe0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0078001df642c49d8f22bb2eb092240f3fc291ec4a3e462924e2fb2bc6046858
8,655.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:21:18 P.M.
From: 0x00196cd933929373dFB2E0c76206A5ae4Aa95838
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007700113f0d216cc2a46f900138b164e04eac91ae2e480d7a3fd188e87ceea7
7,582.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:21:18 P.M.
From: 0x0016C547CE6bcc6AD621292aaFceC8c037a60e69
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b005225433263398190fe5b157b966547ae82f36b5dc0e0f2d44bacbf1a5c
9,582.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:21:18 P.M.
From: 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0065006dad1c03d950d83175df2b3f309903717f96a3fa94d5e8c50a8f30ec8a
9,149.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:21:18 P.M.
From: 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0035006c8d92e07814d193849444b510b0c834fc63ca14bcca8df91ff9f264bb
2,809.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:21:18 P.M.
From: 0x002131bC43929DB2B63610f3edA1C42733E87890
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a002524695644b386e9813664df75ea154aa3359cf7f0186f0b3cec1981b1
9,999.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:21:18 P.M.
From: 0x007813a4b515c47C1058E8455D319840A18d60f6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00300066bf4378f83d219e589479c44431923654b2895f7ec74f0dc2dfb1c569