Spike bucket
08/16/2026, 2:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/16/2026, 2:08:00 P.M. to 08/16/2026, 2:09:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 77.37
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
61.25 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 61 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/16/2026, 2:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
50.49 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
Net receiver
Unknown type
43.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
26.88 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003F4B94b4217B024e75778fef5c254B08552696
Net receiver
Unknown type
16.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Net receiver
Unknown type
10.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:07:39 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
61.25 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:08:51 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,697.32 QUAI • 59 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:06:28 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
23.77 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:10:02 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
205.84 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:05:17 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:11:12 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
566.71 QUAI • 62 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:04:07 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:12:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
43.39 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:08:37 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
16.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:08:59 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x003F4B94b4217B024e75778fef5c254B08552696
Tx: 0x005b00445082af4abcd3163c9b1bee7aa272eaff76da52882ec593019cd63c64
10.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:08:37 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Tx: 0x007b00130a5c6370f9fbd204b8e5d3665506e19aa5f5d76808529dbe0bc08eea
43.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:08:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
Tx: 0x0032007e7442767d817adc961d5299e894bc1ec6314727455aee23285b2536e5
7.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:08:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x007c001375492cee5d78daf8932ead5530218f1effd5e792e80520c688b597a4