Spike bucket
08/16/2026, 12:48:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/16/2026, 12:48:00 P.M. to 08/16/2026, 12:49:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,892.46
Unexplained QUAI: 1
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
8.0x above local average
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
2,893.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x000B78b076de7A65EeaDDE8A72aC11C221AD8F2E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 2893 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x000B78b076de7A65EeaDDE8A72aC11C221AD8F2E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/16/2026, 12:48:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
2,892.46 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000B78b076de7A65EeaDDE8A72aC11C221AD8F2E
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,602.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00153B8570b577Db9F83a4E206f8b8408825Cae4
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,290.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
2,893.46 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/16/2026, 12:48:14 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/16/2026, 12:47:04 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/16/2026, 12:49:25 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/16/2026, 12:45:55 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/16/2026, 12:44:45 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/16/2026, 12:50:35 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/16/2026, 12:43:33 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/16/2026, 12:51:45 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,602.09 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 12:48:03 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x000B78b076de7A65EeaDDE8A72aC11C221AD8F2E
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1,290.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 12:48:03 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00153B8570b577Db9F83a4E206f8b8408825Cae4
Tx: 0x001a007fcb3d8632a7cf804b6268a80a3ec63f72591a6b28e0c6b2507dded131
1,602.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 12:48:03 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x000B78b076de7A65EeaDDE8A72aC11C221AD8F2E
Tx: 0x0019001cc7c4ffe43604ec7aa6ed7c47a22a2d95cf971ba07a256e3469f3ccc0
