Spike bucket
08/16/2026, 11:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/16/2026, 11:41:00 A.M. to 08/16/2026, 11:42:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,120.11
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
8.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
3,120.11 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3120 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/16/2026, 11:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,118.77 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
Net sender
Unknown type
1,264.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,058.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net sender
Unknown type
796.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
Net sender
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,118.77 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/16/2026, 11:40:38 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
3,120.11 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/16/2026, 11:41:50 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/16/2026, 11:39:28 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/16/2026, 11:43:01 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/16/2026, 11:38:18 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/16/2026, 11:44:11 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/16/2026, 11:37:07 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/16/2026, 11:45:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,264.14 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 11:41:42 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 11:41:42 A.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002F42C7EF750b79C090E48b30AC02330c8aD3e7
Tx: 0x003900092a2b6cb429e106ac5c0f7e0b71a2fa58811c8d4b31505389e9e2afba
1,264.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 11:41:42 A.M.
From: 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00490024a9fde74ac97bb0794167b2bd1c137309d1656da66b257a44fe8ef181
1,058.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 11:41:42 A.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a003b2a2d9029be02033295520ebce02cffbb2020fc509230fce19c1931e8
796.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 11:41:42 A.M.
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0073004dbe629c4d0bfb219eeed0ddc3380b63e38934a34ceb2e124d868a4899
