Spike bucket
08/16/2026, 11:09:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/16/2026, 11:09:00 A.M. to 08/16/2026, 11:10:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19.77
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
19.77 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907 • 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 20 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907 • 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/16/2026, 11:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
19.77 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Net sender
Unknown type
12.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
7.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
11 tx
749.72 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/16/2026, 11:08:56 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
70.27 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/16/2026, 11:07:46 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
19.77 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/16/2026, 11:10:08 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,235.96 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/16/2026, 11:06:35 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/16/2026, 11:11:19 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/16/2026, 11:12:28 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
440.91 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/16/2026, 11:05:24 A.M.
-5 min
50 tx
752.26 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/16/2026, 11:04:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
12.14 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 11:09:13 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
12.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 11:09:13 A.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x003e0057fd7b1b9b05edada2a4b164b589393ed509eb8599e67e36875815d620
7.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 11:09:13 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x00750023693a8816faa696c199e3c5a635b7bb2fd615780590cdc5f9888188b3