Spike bucket
08/16/2026, 9:22:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/16/2026, 9:22:00 A.M. to 08/16/2026, 9:23:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 29,149.13
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
5.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
29,149.13 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 29149 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/16/2026, 9:22:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007b538b8AD0E2B2e81F9337eC4de249226FAC38
Net sender
Unknown type
9,150 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,150 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/16/2026, 9:21:51 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/16/2026, 9:20:40 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
29,149.13 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/16/2026, 9:23:01 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/16/2026, 9:19:30 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/16/2026, 9:24:12 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/16/2026, 9:25:24 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/16/2026, 9:18:19 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
10,103 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/16/2026, 9:17:08 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.13 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 9:22:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
9,150 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 9:22:17 A.M.
From: 0x007b538b8AD0E2B2e81F9337eC4de249226FAC38
To: 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
Tx: 0x003f001ab18b03c10e31f9a9e4a2d3f17183fc455de6004474df058894791a07
19,999.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 9:22:17 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x00410077bdea8242fbb5878915c6dacc5bd0db496e27cae6d261288e9f2c7525