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Spike bucket

08/16/2026, 9:14:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/16/2026, 9:14:00 A.M. to 08/16/2026, 9:15:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

99% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 30,058.6

Unexplained QUAI: 197.64

Facts

Pattern: Distributed activity

Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume

Relative context

5.9x above local average

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.

The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

30,256.24 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00413C934ab6ab2B1BA09702c8955D507e30D6c9.

Dominant behavior: mixed flow

mixed_flow + medium confidence + 30256 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 40

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00413C934ab6ab2B1BA09702c8955D507e30D6c9.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 08/16/2026, 9:14:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.

Top actors in this event

K1 Mining pool

Net sender

Miner pool

30,000 QUAI across 3 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00413C934ab6ab2B1BA09702c8955D507e30D6c9

Net receiver

Unknown type

10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304

Net receiver

Unknown type

10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x007813a4b515c47C1058E8455D319840A18d60f6

Net receiver

Unknown type

10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6

Net sender

Unknown type

58.6 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 6. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.