Spike bucket
08/16/2026, 8:13:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/16/2026, 8:13:00 A.M. to 08/16/2026, 8:14:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 660.42
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
660.42 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 660 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/16/2026, 8:13:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
660.42 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087
Net sender
Unknown type
439.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
119.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003Deceb4dc3e586b05CEf1e689AE61ef2A7bC6b
Net sender
Unknown type
100.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 660.42 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/16/2026, 8:12:26 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
660.42 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/16/2026, 8:13:37 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/16/2026, 8:11:16 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/16/2026, 8:14:47 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
20,006.56 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/16/2026, 8:10:03 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/16/2026, 8:15:58 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
63.69 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/16/2026, 8:08:53 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/16/2026, 8:17:08 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
439.61 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 8:13:26 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
119.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 8:13:26 A.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0073002d2ba8d25e54b2f8dcfdff4695169f62f20f6319415dc117b6993fa9e1
100.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 8:13:26 A.M.
From: 0x003Deceb4dc3e586b05CEf1e689AE61ef2A7bC6b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0031002999a21781b3f37c481318071c83df18072e5425b08874d98e77aa467e
439.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 8:13:26 A.M.
From: 0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0033001f178b6b03e925fd31f34d0536f5f70d97435518429af0fb9e516f7c12