Spike bucket
08/16/2026, 3:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/16/2026, 3:11:00 A.M. to 08/16/2026, 3:12:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
71% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,789.9
Unexplained QUAI: 742.52
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.8x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
2,532.42 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x007C324612C259c8591f52DA8C11B5B44Bd83F73.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 2532 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x007C324612C259c8591f52DA8C11B5B44Bd83F73.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/16/2026, 3:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (29% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,789.9 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x007C324612C259c8591f52DA8C11B5B44Bd83F73
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,752.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007bE63B8A9EdF68F26aEe2E782c910Bbce2163F
Net receiver
Unknown type
37.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
2,532.42 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:11:11 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
3,230.32 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:09:59 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
2,969.59 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:12:21 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate17 tx
13,417.17 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:08:47 A.M.
-3 min
19 tx
1,051.22 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:07:37 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
5,611.06 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:13:32 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:14:45 A.M.
-5 min
54 tx
5,117.54 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/16/2026, 3:06:26 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,752.69 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:11:44 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007C324612C259c8591f52DA8C11B5B44Bd83F73
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1,752.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:11:44 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007C324612C259c8591f52DA8C11B5B44Bd83F73
Tx: 0x0045007d01c59494a00735230a74cb3a0e7bdb2523e1b64c2fd3c7c2ed338d8a
37.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 3:11:28 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007bE63B8A9EdF68F26aEe2E782c910Bbce2163F
Tx: 0x006400704b7207aa0bec787b366eeda8fd944a1f602b49d6d11fafeb4534b60b
