Spike bucket
08/16/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/16/2026, 2:52:00 A.M. to 08/16/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
80% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 27,828.21
Unexplained QUAI: 6,878.12
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 72% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
1.4x previous minute
2.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
11
64.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
34,706.34 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 34706 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 58
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/16/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,279.25 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,549.9 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,192.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate17 tx
34,706.34 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:52:13 A.M.
-1 min
27 tx
25,192.37 QUAI • 38 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:51:01 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
13,050.31 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:53:26 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
1,709.27 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:49:50 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
3,877.84 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:48:39 A.M.
+3 min
12 tx
19,446.78 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:54:36 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
2,897.36 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:55:47 A.M.
-5 min
14 tx
21,082.3 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:47:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.07 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:52:08 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
509.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:52:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00566d3A7733Bca76aa6A7A4648406DcCe35d7D1
Tx: 0x002a000bcd017af9a2052523d0b15aedc94c103e50c599dd64dc49320e3cd881
1,227.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:52:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
Tx: 0x005a0063409759773afea1f52c1ee0018c545f4e269b4d205dec109c1f153119
554.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:52:20 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0055EeF1DcFad9BAe71F4e24a386219D0d3E948f
Tx: 0x003f00188483246990c303b144e0387efbba3aeaa2068d161174e02cfeeca42a
541.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:52:20 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0061602a3dF8B527a69bc84bF41dA6610a8DC044
Tx: 0x0065002f7163ed4afd73478e01e6ce4b6e56fdff4950226e7ee98d00e7b8ddec
2,192.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:52:10 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Tx: 0x006b0050a235e390deafb0a531ed284cf61d857b7cd955599a871ef7ba273268
774.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:52:10 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0054d52a30f89cB614d18B7E7cf450D0fFdBB340
Tx: 0x00090027f4a0d85c384f8f44a8a948dc755e032d66b7dd0a5131c1036a5fcef9
593.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:52:08 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00541EB654c3A18058F0F55315E4724be03Cf344
Tx: 0x004d0038f47f3e16952f05a0497085be8d7b8fbc6a59faf79c0afb63ccf7034c
59.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:52:08 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00611e2cF57B087bAccf7A12498119D49f28FDd6
Tx: 0x003c000f775b46e7935ff785338853b53a0aeb4b61a3f0bd46bfdd8266de3e69
19,999.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:52:08 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x004a0055b297bce32c7466cb1c4e67ac3a04055215722a70c9922ff2b61f2c10
257.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:52:06 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006081b102b55Bc49351D39193353F8BCfFA2eAF
Tx: 0x00130029ae6318ef7567e33d89030689dd85b92f0d2b9746319dd8be276a157d
1,118.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:52:06 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
Tx: 0x0039002163ab0c8723b9cdab22054fb811184b0a548695a1453ae1d0165bec2d
