Spike bucket
08/16/2026, 2:48:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/16/2026, 2:48:00 A.M. to 08/16/2026, 2:49:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
68% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,628.82
Unexplained QUAI: 1,249.02
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
3,877.84 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3878 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/16/2026, 2:48:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (32% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,640.28 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
988.54 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Net receiver
Unknown type
985 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Net receiver
Unknown type
589.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718
Net receiver
Unknown type
427.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
14 tx
21,082.3 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:47:28 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
3,877.84 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:48:39 A.M.
-2 min
11 tx
10,521.8 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:46:17 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
1,709.27 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:49:50 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
4,553.17 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:45:07 A.M.
+3 min
27 tx
25,192.37 QUAI • 38 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:51:01 A.M.
-4 min
18 tx
21,520.79 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:43:56 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate17 tx
34,706.34 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:52:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
985 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:48:43 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
65.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:48:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004d6A8315C2D567fe944979a836F363a159A547
Tx: 0x0062004a192f417c25d079b6e7d8b16335fafa11240b2adbeff6e93d4aadcccf
231.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:48:56 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005AE28E0163Ba0d77cDC2eB96C44619bFf939d3
Tx: 0x00310020981f2ebdbb623f75f6488e01136508d231420e32d6a815a22b06559c
427.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:48:43 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718
Tx: 0x0053002ca7bc558ce7d6495537ff2b38e7aa3a24ccc29f2a80de876ec985a8ed
985 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:48:43 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Tx: 0x00240055d82fc3c1e74d3e62c302fc82dc1a7ee70ff3fe1b50fd7444477a14cf
329.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:48:19 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005A9fC0caE2BD3f1921cae67066cc8bE0FF5145
Tx: 0x003b002dd50dd3a0d34fc62fcd8462bce032be90ecb917ea39710fc71529e49c
589.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:48:19 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Tx: 0x0055006dce19ed4d5ec512e0f03b2ccbe48f2dee11ee998327dd14d296101acd
