Spike bucket
08/16/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/16/2026, 2:39:00 A.M. to 08/16/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,156.75
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.3x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
3,277.83 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0043f6a0860c43D4fC91706A411d81a5fed7412c.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3278 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0043f6a0860c43D4fC91706A411d81a5fed7412c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/16/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,373.12 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0043f6a0860c43D4fC91706A411d81a5fed7412c
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,800.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,290.67 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0064634a2CfD929752e6DA17f0A2f0C3ee024598
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,205.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
492.96 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
3,277.83 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:39:09 A.M.
-1 min
12 tx
10,988.63 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:37:58 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
5,156.75 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:40:20 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
2,170.01 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:36:47 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
1,989.07 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:35:37 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate34 tx
21,867.01 QUAI • 44 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:41:31 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
1,490.96 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:42:45 A.M.
-5 min
18 tx
19,744.31 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:34:26 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,800.35 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:39:54 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0043f6a0860c43D4fC91706A411d81a5fed7412c
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
1,205.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:39:54 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0064634a2CfD929752e6DA17f0A2f0C3ee024598
Tx: 0x00190003e164ed4937cc1d354e7e4c2ccb2432ca95d461bfd4ce657f0c0fd014
2,800.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:39:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0043f6a0860c43D4fC91706A411d81a5fed7412c
Tx: 0x0021002b1f1c92967c093c75b09bd780e274365bf20344f5d2399d7aa5630a68
231.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:39:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003d0A679462BC30C22CAC78fb18366ca4b9f383
Tx: 0x0018005787cab7b8d3be81de9643f3fa961430fc9c3e435d6fc40a0a4eae98dc
235.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:39:24 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0043ed68403e4cDb6f787D36C11B0b767f78105f
Tx: 0x003f0039440a0e121738db6e94fced069241c702ea356bea41b48872bce069bc
48.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:39:24 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00630629F9D2a43a0D651F9235a8f1c8E1d3e150
Tx: 0x0049005061efa7bcc80238cdea3d39deea72e210fa226ccecfe7b590bb3f47ac
221.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:39:24 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003b765e56156BFb75DfE454377C595e14E88dCa
Tx: 0x00510055e4949de0d4bae2b35b8d86892e9bd1928d80c1c93fc7402febd22a5f
337.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:39:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0042934C363f66F0a200a4D010c3d11f15359634
Tx: 0x003000453f0fc70ed2e3183835a183410e65b9703942af43310c0a31715b59d1
40.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:39:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003B22f639A7A149De3ea47Fd46F70A42e5A0D8d
Tx: 0x004b0020ec02ff47f72e3153be266038376a00482909e09e50b67cf929091015
36.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:39:12 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00600089BbB84520A3fB0849d69fC8dF563e5Bea
Tx: 0x00300020e089feb4166990b407f8b9c6a1e4f95abf9d24e38e5cf8b1c37651e2
