Spike bucket
08/16/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/16/2026, 2:31:00 A.M. to 08/16/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,123.37
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.8x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
2,123.37 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2123 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/16/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,505.24 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,160.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
498.71 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002773d48b4A834547e1339Aede3B9878b8F765D
Net receiver
Unknown type
344.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0034c9818589329b7742f70e91ad5D9149417DE4
Net receiver
Unknown type
302.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
12 tx
6,662.94 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:30:48 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
2,655.96 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:29:37 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
3,910.77 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:32:02 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate38 tx
171,165.27 QUAI • 47 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:33:13 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
1,878.43 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:28:26 A.M.
+3 min
18 tx
19,744.31 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:34:26 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
2,675.92 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:27:16 A.M.
-5 min
17 tx
157,748.72 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/16/2026, 2:26:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,160.62 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:31:05 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
344.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:31:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002773d48b4A834547e1339Aede3B9878b8F765D
Tx: 0x0016002d59b5c5cd261da7b3e99907484a0ecaa786090ec337afea4d1ffbf71b
79.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:31:15 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003Ae0bBb0BA9B92C0C6f21C68f34a30D0122402
Tx: 0x00020044e98f204177616f22d5d68d0a05a55935084b827049311817e1750bf0
302.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:31:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0034c9818589329b7742f70e91ad5D9149417DE4
Tx: 0x007b0022ffe27377a4f3929f46b6b7eb474b001ed03ca50e71bf1346e683b414
1,160.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:31:05 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA
Tx: 0x0059000d7f850b3ce7d2f98160da8f9e7e3ccb6e7dab927cd9105bea8cb09fd3
39.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:31:05 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00395DEBD0aB509352fa6FdE57764862B7cf9813
Tx: 0x004d0064ab916ade23f1b69567257d5bee231c81d419b2aa0c4ecd4696d1ef0e
196.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 2:31:05 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
Tx: 0x0038004ffee44ad43c94170d8b80e07e823be2a76ac0184ca89e8ba45608b76c