Spike bucket
08/16/2026, 12:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/16/2026, 12:53:00 A.M. to 08/16/2026, 12:54:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 70.7
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/16/2026, 12:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
68.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Net receiver
Unknown type
68.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
Net sender
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006751Bec530bbeDc67aCA74911396c6cA8C6bd3
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 4 addresses
08/16/2026, 12:53:09 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/16/2026, 12:51:58 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
70.7 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/16/2026, 12:54:19 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/16/2026, 12:50:47 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/16/2026, 12:49:37 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
54.02 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/16/2026, 12:55:30 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
49.84 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/16/2026, 12:56:42 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/16/2026, 12:48:27 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
68.7 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 12:53:53 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 12:53:57 A.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x0000003b30959ad7c745ff20c7c3b0657e6794e378cacaf06f35a8fdf40e5c18
68.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 12:53:53 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x006e006e16099b9f626015eed934e5b8ecf0031d3ef09fca3e05bfd91f51d48f
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/16/2026, 12:53:53 A.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x006751Bec530bbeDc67aCA74911396c6cA8C6bd3
Tx: 0x005a0044970a65503a9a816a5225382f2bfd7f8e03df8a5aa9f690c05c7b7314