Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 11:33:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 11:33:00 P.M. to 08/15/2026, 11:34:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,604.38
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 29% of explained volume
Relative context
5.7x above local average
2.4x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
3,962.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 3962 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 11:33:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
3,962.38 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
StratumX miner
Balanced
Miner wallet
2,669.09 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,642 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Dc15799Dd3450d23F5b34e1298357B150fA3a
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,351.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net receiver
Unknown type
831.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
3,962.38 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/15/2026, 11:33:12 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/15/2026, 11:32:02 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
1,642 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/15/2026, 11:34:23 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/15/2026, 11:30:49 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/15/2026, 11:29:39 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/15/2026, 11:35:33 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/15/2026, 11:36:43 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/15/2026, 11:28:29 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,642 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 11:33:29 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: StratumX miner
0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386
Miner wallet
To: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
1,642 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 11:33:29 P.M.
From: StratumX miner
0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386
Miner wallet
To: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Tx: 0x0004003317bd19b237449f38ed05016cc318f638b4d0374f65ae8e580e25b3cd
214.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 11:33:03 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0002C927952814a83f769805E0ac347879e5f760
Tx: 0x006e0070c72975d07967d153a93213bf77d8e136bacef7285ba13357f44a9dff
831.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 11:33:03 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Tx: 0x006e00091777d1fff2b124d13e0abe0285338ec3f4d2be0bf40411504d4487b3
287.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 11:33:03 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: StratumX miner
0x004894e7C041BaC2a4575241c0Ec96DDd37866e0
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x0015005d8fd90b1c4290213d187f25ba6be555a9bfcb1e126b7399f7861c797f
1,027.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 11:33:03 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: StratumX miner
0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x0029003a5d5627d91d333f5d9052f88d4a3d03a9871c931d78687e4dd4f67c48
1,351.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 11:33:03 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x000Dc15799Dd3450d23F5b34e1298357B150fA3a
Tx: 0x006d0031e2bbd1441c316fad079eb431eb7b5e7ed46cb29ccdeaa7e8face8c0f
250.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 11:33:03 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0001474fB70709F443d56310A642287aad6BDC72
Tx: 0x0054003bbb1b65fc612bc5b30646749607b06054273f8be5b34ae1c73a9ffde3
