Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 6:43:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 6:43:00 P.M. to 08/15/2026, 6:44:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,173.56
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
13,173.56 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 13174 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 6:43:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
13,173.56 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8
Net sender
Unknown type
6,154.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
Net sender
Unknown type
3,706.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
3,312.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 13,173.56 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/15/2026, 6:42:59 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/15/2026, 6:41:48 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
13,173.56 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/15/2026, 6:44:09 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/15/2026, 6:40:38 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/15/2026, 6:45:20 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/15/2026, 6:39:28 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/15/2026, 6:46:32 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate7 tx
40,161.45 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/15/2026, 6:38:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,154.75 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 6:43:42 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
6,154.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 6:43:42 P.M.
From: 0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e0072ea5fec7d0dfd4115b285964438555c488865946aed0d96335c17b9d5
3,706.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 6:43:42 P.M.
From: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00200048abab2515c9f6a5bd2768ddac90896a27995836e997322532be5f231d
3,312.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 6:43:42 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0004002a19f6b32068722c0f6b518db128ae6e7734c01b62ee2dd72d71499bb6