Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 6:34:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 6:34:00 P.M. to 08/15/2026, 6:35:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,186.51
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 22% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
7,186.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 7187 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 6:34:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
7,186.51 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
Net sender
Unknown type
1,573.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0076EA0Dd7a69eD5Fb6939D80Def75550182D037
Net sender
Unknown type
1,546.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005E46386A499573Fc0d4F122526bdE398DDcF34
Net sender
Unknown type
1,471.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0023A5425Db9c16Fe3B53D6De5a3903FC5f1CA07
Net sender
Unknown type
911.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 7,186.51 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/15/2026, 6:33:34 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
7,186.51 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/15/2026, 6:34:45 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/15/2026, 6:32:24 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/15/2026, 6:35:57 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/15/2026, 6:31:13 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/15/2026, 6:37:07 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/15/2026, 6:30:03 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate7 tx
40,161.45 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/15/2026, 6:38:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,573.83 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 6:34:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
911.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 6:34:23 P.M.
From: 0x0023A5425Db9c16Fe3B53D6De5a3903FC5f1CA07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0044004fd3ed89984083329f0726674eee5dfe10d00338a3b9244278654f08d9
1,573.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 6:34:23 P.M.
From: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061005355992711494d8be441023246b4e07e6a2a3db35329c8270256d5a121
449.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 6:34:23 P.M.
From: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004500678a9524cad2796dffe6bb65f8b6ef665a1a475bd7bc813636e29e3158
1,471.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 6:34:23 P.M.
From: 0x005E46386A499573Fc0d4F122526bdE398DDcF34
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0079002cb529f09dc3777d9a28c95e61a1ea17a159becf143a1a95104df78e96
214.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 6:34:23 P.M.
From: 0x007f7d7B1cB860C695ED2eC7BC822Cb8F6A74B28
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002f0070007f07be68bf7f72d3032ef8b98e5f5fb86d98c2dca59eae69abbab5
375.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 6:34:23 P.M.
From: 0x007d5c74B3EAdaAD3f0986Ae9D4908d00d07D2AC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a003f9b5040fbc81d4655d478ab44e6317248efcfcf7bfa2e5719c145acf6
1,546.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 6:34:23 P.M.
From: 0x0076EA0Dd7a69eD5Fb6939D80Def75550182D037
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003d0053cf94452e43bde0ef558a1b1a30299abcd1afcc65cf69663e7c1063a4
644.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 6:34:23 P.M.
From: 0x002339338afB687a8141a968A1cf7CC6d0642eaC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003e00591a9948ea61de16935d64d5f4a96a07b103d779673c610698b8b90286