Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 3:25:00 P.M. to 08/15/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
71% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,378.97
Unexplained QUAI: 3,903.61
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 6% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
22
Observable rows
23
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
37
Asset volume
13,282.58 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 13283 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 23 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (29% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 23 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
9,378.97 QUAI across 23 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
Net sender
Unknown type
572.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001CC38277169d97F3751721Abf7e2AA18D76715
Net sender
Unknown type
451.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000bac590bF29eF380733C864145397f54b227E6
Net sender
Unknown type
448.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00186A4a9eED5ec68c319bBe83949c15E7916690
Net sender
Unknown type
440.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 9,378.97 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
22 tx
13,282.58 QUAI • 37 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:25:04 P.M.
-1 min
31 tx
40,612.89 QUAI • 43 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:23:49 P.M.
+1 min
23 tx
9,378.97 QUAI • 38 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:26:17 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate18 tx
315,242.78 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:22:37 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:27:30 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:21:26 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:28:40 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:20:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
572.8 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
23 transactions
374.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:29 P.M.
From: 0x00323970A6d1ee5999ba0cF7f3c39a7ad26f96e6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0076006aad527d83ffb24be91a424644033f95b3b395e37b5a159c8b5f45d7bb
364.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:29 P.M.
From: 0x003337fCEEadb0C33A1F2A658ffAae267459c3Eb
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0053007f00b124580309d7a076549f7a6898eedb50850da9c3142bbbd31811a3
409.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:29 P.M.
From: 0x0023eAc773493A9fbE483A67BE952d205CB89c64
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004b0042931116316f658a48233699279d8d78ad2ddc842a98952f01db417a97
418.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:24 P.M.
From: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00770064d17876b381cf6157ff53577dca49d05c6feb4f6c6cfe4d02886a7e8f
395.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:24 P.M.
From: 0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000500165d1c8d70694f7b7753c717ea9c472d098b42f93b33f8486e40aa0a0c
341.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:24 P.M.
From: 0x00415f09816976684b248044c91A62020d85B568
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f001dc9ee5608271beac5a26325864545f10e1d84166daf2e98fbe5976bb5
418.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x007D573b4c5755EE22648833FB7DE703d90D7B05
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00300046a25e5475d5d2b9eb284710659aa4d1d17f7f977f523121bdd3aede57
435.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x003bbCc29471E647B17434D683F1386810765f4c
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0034007a623f9fc66055c3690813a31e776a5b68441f93326b9987ace4297537
428.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x004e365b06Ee8579ECacF4F01eA7ae0EB6576D3A
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0065002d66d353ccba6a3197dd577f86143b913832b6757f433244e4b0eafc58
397.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x0042934C363f66F0a200a4D010c3d11f15359634
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0036003decbae114f1c2d0956dda7b8d8f2eff53d0f7f50661fa4fd99c3b6036
405.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x006Fe5e18B64DAB4A338820C286bB37CF8bafD8b
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c00797559f0181825dd6a856cf3638dde1d205a63f90d8b88e171edd9eaa2
572.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003e0023b70bb6e52693e8660c69e08b25966ffdd93c0831f03c3e7b8512d0d1
410.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00330026693c753bb275f8b3ae8230cd4ea38223f44c8a5d0dce660465c6c480
339.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x004a8E53ffcE813f9948115d9C7914878a865461
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c0009083fe9e516751f7423208b2f21241a804d387a3bc0c636aeb36b11c8
451.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x001CC38277169d97F3751721Abf7e2AA18D76715
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f00557c19f345c47512dd9004fa6cf7cbcc3e4227b906894e6349afa3eb5d
440.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x00186A4a9eED5ec68c319bBe83949c15E7916690
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0074004753928c3c9baa71bb45eb627d88e60e155d367cd318d4dd6c61060b92
355.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x006013336a20187f7eC52e8C98caF5b3340E007d
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003800478c8249260210f8e724267bff69366da71bc2184f9688e36fe242be9a
415.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x000AE7fa57265AeB4901eEE71c3a75AEeC9f6811
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f00562e3a1f6db082c3efb604791e1f6ad8e3888fd38d84fa175eb5b221a4
403.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x0029D74BFeacE23C9a500D8D952483B66d36e78e
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0053004d8b410eff9d4e0605eac5fa8f1dedb33e64b3ad5fecbcfe8fd1395603
384.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x00743a2bF1c35514DAb84180e40D9C09C9B3C7d0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00350053b50b5f110c4c120c9d193d10ebdc5b3d022520997c1e429930428749
346.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x0064c629990f6219038b5d3107784c01C614D328
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0051005818728f3210894879d4f89843a8c29bc9c6c03b2f7c266a678aaacbbe
420.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x002773d48b4A834547e1339Aede3B9878b8F765D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b005a88ecc633c7ce0c0992ab818c9fa1068854fc293ab373ae39ac95ec79
448.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x000bac590bF29eF380733C864145397f54b227E6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0012005749601b48da0823c686bab88614e13a9c71266356c3eb29954ef92815