Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 3:23:00 P.M. to 08/15/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
26% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,604.3
Unexplained QUAI: 30,008.59
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 11% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
31
Observable rows
11
35.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
43
Asset volume
40,612.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 40613 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (74% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (26%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
10,604.3 QUAI across 11 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5
Net sender
Unknown type
1,114.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00534A932F7f172c6B4250d933916eA8B8ab9f54
Net sender
Unknown type
1,001.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c6B8b7aBEf0C66a7d38BC87444732e03c5394
Net sender
Unknown type
997.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD
Net sender
Unknown type
994.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 10,604.3 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate18 tx
315,242.78 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:22:37 P.M.
+1 min
31 tx
40,612.89 QUAI • 43 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:23:49 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:21:26 P.M.
+2 min
22 tx
13,282.58 QUAI • 37 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:25:04 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:20:15 P.M.
+3 min
23 tx
9,378.97 QUAI • 38 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:26:17 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:19:05 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:17:55 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,114.67 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:23:11 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
915.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:23:21 P.M.
From: 0x005E6F17BC0320c439526bf12AbDB525165Ca3b3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00010007a422c035fa7ccad7d8fc7e0bcfa471e17e8b2a2a0c8c94854e8b7f29
876.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:23:21 P.M.
From: 0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0039003d4e081129baf7a399e327f9755423315c330c017d90cbe015af527190
771.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:23:21 P.M.
From: 0x007fFD6fd12e6F07B0775BB9D5636187ceD192a1
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b001ba3171b96f961028421d066d1eba711887d4e90f051db8f0e9f88be42
994.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:23:11 P.M.
From: 0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d001bbe6e673ac9861f82a6fe96c93575a0dd65cca87d1540a7d829c5f065
1,001.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:23:11 P.M.
From: 0x00534A932F7f172c6B4250d933916eA8B8ab9f54
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0074006802e4cb8ea964db62d583b4a94fcdab1c45b9f0ca66023e32837440f8
1,114.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:23:11 P.M.
From: 0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00140029316244d369b11f42a81fae72cb0b5c5d0b2def85f497af873bc77aab
973.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:23:11 P.M.
From: 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0020003be8329e781152a5bce42c8523d2d5850afdd82fb95474010cd0cdbdcc
997.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:23:11 P.M.
From: 0x006c6B8b7aBEf0C66a7d38BC87444732e03c5394
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0051001860282e2d6e8fd002f693e44acebc229eec9a0dc0a01f87c6cc4a4b85
980.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:23:11 P.M.
From: 0x001d8b0943407f32c6f543D890C3b2E2f805D40a
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f0053eb707da97bee0c354cffa350b395f464d35004d53a50c25d5064ebb7
989.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:23:11 P.M.
From: 0x005a0701d5111De546C5614A04C8eA96EB2CCA0D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0033000e00ed1a9c0040e40ce56f76e45ed0fd8958326f38eaa450939d13dfa6
989.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:23:11 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x004F62fFC8a66f549Df1FA3079e8A1508006c20B
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00410025d856871878eeaa519cfea6a4f3d41b2b4f7793d0fdb0f0096c0153d8