Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 11:09:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 11:09:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 11:10:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
58% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12.07
Unexplained QUAI: 8.87
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
1
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
20.93 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9 • 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 21 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9 • 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 11:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (42% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (58%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Net sender
Unknown type
12.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
12.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
20.93 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/15/2026, 11:09:22 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
2 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/15/2026, 11:07:03 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
12.07 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/15/2026, 11:10:34 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate41 tx
23,099.91 QUAI • 54 addresses
08/15/2026, 11:05:52 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/15/2026, 11:11:44 A.M.
-4 min
40 tx
1,743.95 QUAI • 51 addresses
08/15/2026, 11:04:40 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/15/2026, 11:12:55 A.M.
-5 min
11 tx
77.38 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/15/2026, 11:03:30 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
12.07 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 11:09:41 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
12.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 11:09:41 A.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x000e006ec966f0dc6128a7fdb71a0e6b022958953c34375148a1503ef95509b0