Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 8:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 8:31:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 8:32:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
30% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,268.12
Unexplained QUAI: 47,752
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
3.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
68,020.12 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 68020 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 8:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (70% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (30%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003E10DBE4bb41AFB6549E31100235f92ec2A155
Net sender
Unknown type
269 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00113675d40981d3fEF1E777fd9D1b5EF0380988
Net receiver
Unknown type
269 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
18,887 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/15/2026, 8:30:36 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
68,020.12 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/15/2026, 8:31:48 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/15/2026, 8:29:26 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
66,907.67 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/15/2026, 8:32:59 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/15/2026, 8:28:15 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/15/2026, 8:34:09 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/15/2026, 8:27:05 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/15/2026, 8:35:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.12 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 8:31:38 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
19,999.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 8:31:38 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0038004c82f18cc6bf751c985c9e2bf8618b565da096ec977359f84668706281
269 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 8:31:24 A.M.
From: 0x003E10DBE4bb41AFB6549E31100235f92ec2A155
To: 0x00113675d40981d3fEF1E777fd9D1b5EF0380988
Tx: 0x0040005aa213ba7c10a47e4e6a586e41be2cdb897aed95eb2ec1d13bbd5c452b