Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 8:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 8:04:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 8:05:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
4% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 693.71
Unexplained QUAI: 18,520.1
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 74% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
39x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
54
Observable rows
2
3.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
60
Asset volume
19,213.81 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303 • 0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 19214 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303 • 0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 8:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303
Net sender
Unknown type
516 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087
Net receiver
Unknown type
516 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
Net sender
Unknown type
177.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0055A661dD998d678DE30FBaceCc284ef40206A1
Net receiver
Unknown type
177.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
2,038.35 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/15/2026, 8:03:33 A.M.
+1 min
54 tx
19,213.81 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/15/2026, 8:04:44 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
486.5 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/15/2026, 8:02:23 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/15/2026, 8:05:55 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
2,501.62 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/15/2026, 8:01:12 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate44 tx
22,868.19 QUAI • 55 addresses
08/15/2026, 8:07:06 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
19,999.12 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/15/2026, 8:00:01 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/15/2026, 8:08:17 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
516 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 8:04:16 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303
To: 0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
516 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 8:04:16 A.M.
From: 0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303
To: 0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087
Tx: 0x0022002dc257e7c81b6b7316c52e65125e72cc218879f0b8f105a5d777c3bcc2
177.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 8:04:16 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x0055A661dD998d678DE30FBaceCc284ef40206A1
Tx: 0x00430013d3df030e339581a646a54320788fa690abf00cc52d9c4c6ef42e917e
