Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 7:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 7:11:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 7:12:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
2% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 311.8
Unexplained QUAI: 19,687.32
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
7.5x above local average
214x previous minute
64x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
19,999.11 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 19999 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 7:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
311.8 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
106.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
Net sender
Unknown type
103.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002536BB0CcD07e62c83B286069BA9f73250eaA0
Net sender
Unknown type
101.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 311.8 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate1 tx
19,999.11 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/15/2026, 7:11:13 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
93.27 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/15/2026, 7:09:53 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
25.08 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/15/2026, 7:08:35 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
311.8 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/15/2026, 7:12:31 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/15/2026, 7:13:50 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/15/2026, 7:07:17 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/15/2026, 7:15:07 A.M.
-5 min
30 tx
763.59 QUAI • 40 addresses
08/15/2026, 7:05:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
106.83 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 7:11:08 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
106.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 7:11:08 A.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004b007fa2d35c47590093f6b1f479dafa02d091302694b5a49e907e7e775193
103.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 7:11:08 A.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e0048eeb1fae4471a7010cc9ea2874b2e1faecafba4c4e99223882b429300
101.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 7:11:08 A.M.
From: 0x002536BB0CcD07e62c83B286069BA9f73250eaA0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a000572c1c40aa208982d765b6f057a534800a01f83c52adac4132ade7699
