Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 4:46:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 4:46:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 4:47:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
54% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 112.88
Unexplained QUAI: 97.34
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
1.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
210.22 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 210 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 4:46:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (46% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (54%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
112.88 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1
Net receiver
Unknown type
63.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003cC4c63a4bCB119AD611c5e7Feb1b8064b9034
Net receiver
Unknown type
49.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
210.22 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/15/2026, 4:46:10 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/15/2026, 4:44:52 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
112.88 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/15/2026, 4:47:29 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/15/2026, 4:43:34 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
202.23 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/15/2026, 4:48:47 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/15/2026, 4:42:15 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate3 tx
4,195.79 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/15/2026, 4:50:06 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/15/2026, 4:40:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
63.63 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 4:46:23 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
49.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 4:46:55 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x003cC4c63a4bCB119AD611c5e7Feb1b8064b9034
Tx: 0x00410004dbede4743fec1ca7cc016ccf5f37107fe1427d02bcdcecea2bb43221
63.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 4:46:23 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1
Tx: 0x007100798bb51b3d1bae61d47b81f703fe20c618b649632a0ec91240046d4765