Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 4:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 4:11:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 4:12:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 484.47
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 28% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 4:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
484.47 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
Net sender
Unknown type
136.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
120.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
117.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
109.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 484.47 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/15/2026, 4:11:08 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
7.95 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/15/2026, 4:09:49 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
484.47 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/15/2026, 4:12:27 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/15/2026, 4:08:28 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
55.53 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/15/2026, 4:13:46 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
98.48 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/15/2026, 4:07:10 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/15/2026, 4:15:05 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,521.4 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/15/2026, 4:05:50 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
136.93 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 4:11:28 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
117.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 4:11:28 A.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b004fb66aed1e2602bbb70e312a4eb9f70bec6e9bc5ac9b399630587384c2
136.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 4:11:28 A.M.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b005dead45f0148d04320159bf5e54e5fff7e78ba97d2f1f95af21e3141cb
109.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 4:11:28 A.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a0037eec8f6bd68c1bc8a8be9315e5efaea01bcb82592c1c249129760c304
120.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 4:11:28 A.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a007953638ea59171cb8213df3fd74796d3834c13c89ec195ed907f976141