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Spike bucket

08/15/2026, 3:17:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/15/2026, 3:17:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 3:18:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

80% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 37,215.54

Unexplained QUAI: 9,359.18

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume

Relative context

4.9x above local average

151x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Largest nearby bucket

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

26.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

46,574.72 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x00717bADD131dAcE84fC727e8ca1bd68D376B6b9 • 0x00196cd933929373dFB2E0c76206A5ae4Aa95838.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 46575 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 58

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x00717bADD131dAcE84fC727e8ca1bd68D376B6b9 • 0x00196cd933929373dFB2E0c76206A5ae4Aa95838.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 08/15/2026, 3:17:00 A.M.

Coverage gap moderate (20% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x00717bADD131dAcE84fC727e8ca1bd68D376B6b9

Net sender

Unknown type

34,093.36 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00196cd933929373dFB2E0c76206A5ae4Aa95838

Net receiver

Unknown type

34,008.34 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F

Net sender

Unknown type

3,122.18 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x007aD581CA72926f6D2D79C43024259057c8e61C

Net receiver

Unknown type

2,716.81 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00782f61dC8c6030a482E813E04E940F4c602f33

Net receiver

Unknown type

405.37 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 15. The remaining 11 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.