Spike bucket
08/15/2026, 3:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/15/2026, 3:12:00 A.M. to 08/15/2026, 3:13:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
42% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,878.82
Unexplained QUAI: 9,332.22
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
16x previous minute
9.4x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
2
22.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
16,211.04 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 16211 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/15/2026, 3:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (58% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (42%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
6,624.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,624.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
254.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
Net receiver
Unknown type
254.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
16,211.04 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:12:20 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
989.89 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:11:01 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate22 tx
19,833.77 QUAI • 36 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:09:41 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
1,729.7 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:13:39 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
3,219.79 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:14:57 A.M.
-4 min
18 tx
11,687.63 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:08:22 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
308.54 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:16:16 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
2,220.79 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/15/2026, 3:07:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,624.52 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:12:09 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
254.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:12:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
Tx: 0x00310053c9d47628a89c3a34c68ba9720e1b01a17765dc341335fe88379b20bb
6,624.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/15/2026, 3:12:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
Tx: 0x00370028e4231489255a86583500d00dde9bc13496e69886bf4bd3a6ca0b7743